Statistics
Measure what matters. Profit factor, expectancy, R-multiple, win rate — the metrics that reveal whether your strategy actually works.
How Many Trades Before You Know Your Strategy Works?
The answer is not 30. It depends on the size of your edge and the noise around it — and a genuinely profitable strategy is still losing money after 30 trades about 18% of the time. The math behind the real number, and what you can judge long before the P/L is conclusive.
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Profit Factor vs Win Rate: Which Metric Actually Predicts Trading Success?
Most traders obsess over win rate, but profit factor is a far better predictor of long-term success. See the math that reveals why a 70% win rate trader can be losing money while a 40% win rate trader thrives.
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R-Multiple Explained: How to Measure Trade Quality (Not Just Profit)
Dollar P/L is one of the least informative metrics in trading. R-multiple — actual P/L divided by your initial risk — is the honest way to evaluate every trade. Learn how to calculate it and use it to find your real edge.
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Trading Expectancy Explained: The Formula That Tells If Your Strategy Works
Expectancy is the one number that reveals whether your strategy is profitable long-term. Learn the formula, see it applied to different win rate and R:R combinations, and calculate your own expectancy from trade history.
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